Publication library
Analyses, research insights and the most important developments in prediction markets and the forecasting industry in Lithuania, the Baltic region and worldwide.
On 1 October 2026, LPMI will attend the Global Prediction Markets Forum in Lisbon, Portugal – a one-day event for prediction market builders, operators and regulation specialists.
26 September 2026 · 2 min read
Read →On 9 September 2026, the Tema Trading & Prediction Markets ETF (DICE) began trading on Cboe in the US. How does this fund differ from prediction market contracts, and what does it mean for the sector?
26 September 2026 · 3 min read
Read →The stalled Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the US Senate exposed a far broader conflict than disagreements over crypto: should trading event contracts on sports, elections and other real-world events be treated as financial market activity or as gambling?
21 September 2026 · 7 min read
Read →As prediction markets grow internationally, Lithuania should begin a public discussion about their potential, risks and regulation before these platforms become mainstream.
21 September 2026 · 8 min read
Read →An introduction to prediction markets: how a market mechanism aggregates information held by many people and turns it into a probability.
12 August 2026 · 7 min read
Read →A poll measures opinion, a prediction market measures probability. Why this distinction matters when assessing future events.
12 August 2026 · 7 min read
Read →A regulatory perspective: the legal and institutional conditions required for prediction markets in Lithuania and the Baltic region.
28 July 2026 · 8 min read
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